Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/10/18
Monday 29 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.4% | 4.7% | |
| 12:30 | 
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.2% | +2.0% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | +0.1% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | +2.0% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | +0.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.3% | |
| 23:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
Corporate Statements
Avalonbay Communities, CBL & Associates Properties, Community Health Systems, Continental Res, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Edison Intl, Entertainment Prop Tr, First Data Corp, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Vornado Realty
Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, HSBC Hldgs, Lok'n Store Group, President Energy Company, Wey Education
Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, HSBC Hldgs, Lok'n Store Group, President Energy Company, Wey Education
Avalonbay Communities, CBL & Associates Properties, Community Health Systems, Continental Res, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Edison Intl, Entertainment Prop Tr, First Data Corp, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Vornado Realty
Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, HSBC Hldgs, Lok'n Store Group, President Energy Company, Wey Education
Avalonbay Communities, CBL & Associates Properties, Community Health Systems, Continental Res, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Edison Intl, Entertainment Prop Tr, First Data Corp, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Vornado Realty
Tuesday 30 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 08:55 | 
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-23k | -12k | -11k |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
110.9 | 110.0 | 109.8 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
14.6 | 14.0 | 13.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
4.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 116.0 | 115.0 | 116.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-2.7 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
1.21 | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
138.4 | 136.0 | 137.9 |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 0.2% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
Corporate Statements
BP, Egdon Resources, Hunting, Kore Potash, Proactis Holdings, Reckitt Benckiser Group, SDL, Serabi Gold, Trans Sib
3D Systems Corp, Aetna Inc, AGCO Corp, American Financial, American Tower Corp, Anadarko, AO Smith, Artisan Partners, Autonation Inc, B&G Foods, Boston Ppty, Chesapeake Energy, Coca Cola European Partners, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Fidelity Natl In, FleetCor Technologies, General Electric, Global Payment, HCA Inc, Huntsman, Hyatt, Intrepid Potash, KBR, Masco Corp, Mastercard (All Sessions), MetroPCS Comm, MGM Mirage, MSC Industrial Direct, NCR Corporation, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Systemax, Under Armour Class C, Voya Financial, Vulcan Materials, Wabtec Common Stock, WellCare Health Plans, Whiting Petroleum Corporation, Xylem
3D Systems Corp, Aetna Inc, AGCO Corp, American Financial, American Tower Corp, Anadarko, AO Smith, Artisan Partners, Autonation Inc, B&G Foods, Boston Ppty, Chesapeake Energy, Coca Cola European Partners, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Fidelity Natl In, FleetCor Technologies, General Electric, Global Payment, HCA Inc, Huntsman, Hyatt, Intrepid Potash, KBR, Masco Corp, Mastercard (All Sessions), MetroPCS Comm, MGM Mirage, MSC Industrial Direct, NCR Corporation, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Systemax, Under Armour Class C, Voya Financial, Vulcan Materials, Wabtec Common Stock, WellCare Health Plans, Whiting Petroleum Corporation, Xylem
BP, Braveheart Inv, Egdon Resources, Hunting, Kore Potash, Proactis Holdings, Reckitt Benckiser Group, SDL, Serabi Gold, Trans Sib
3D Systems Corp, Aetna Inc, AGCO Corp, American Financial, American Tower Corp, Anadarko, AO Smith, Artisan Partners, Autonation Inc, B&G Foods, Boston Ppty, Chesapeake Energy, Coca Cola European Partners, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Fidelity Natl In, FleetCor Technologies, General Electric, Global Payment, HCA Inc, Huntsman, Hyatt, Intrepid Potash, KBR, Masco Corp, Mastercard (All Sessions), MetroPCS Comm, MGM Mirage, MSC Industrial Direct, NCR Corporation, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Systemax, Under Armour Class C, Voya Financial, Vulcan Materials, Wabtec Common Stock, WellCare Health Plans, Whiting Petroleum Corporation, Xylem
BP, Braveheart Inv, Egdon Resources, Hunting, Kore Potash, Proactis Holdings, Reckitt Benckiser Group, SDL, Serabi Gold, Trans Sib
Wednesday 31 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-9 | -10 | -10 |
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | +0.4% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 1.9% | +1.9% |
| 01:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.8 | 50.6 | 50.2 |
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
43.4 | 43.0 | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.6% | 0.9% | -2.6% |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -30.8 | -39.1 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| 12:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
230k | 189k | 227.0k |
| 12:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.8% | 6.2% | |
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.346Mln | 4.110Mln | 3.217Mln |
Corporate Statements
Aerohive Networks, Allstate Cp, Ameren Corp, American Water Works Co, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Antero Resources, Apache Corp, Apollo Global Management, Baxter Intl Inc, Bunge, Clean Harbors, Clorox Co, Compass Diversified Holdings, Compass Minerals, Diebold Nixdorf, DineEquity, Entergy, Enterprise Products Partners, FitBit, General Motors (All Sessions), GNC Holdings, Hanesbrands, Harsco Corporation, HCP, Hess Corp, HollyFrontier, ION Geophysical Corporation, Keane Group, Kellogg Co, Matador Resources, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Molson Coors Br, Newfield Exploration Company, Perkinelmer, Ramco-Gershenson, Rayonier Inc, Realty Income Corp, Rowan Cos Inc, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Sprint Nextel, The Macerich Co, The St Joe Company, Urban Edge Properties, Wisconsin Energy, WPX Energy, Yum Brands
Computacenter, Glaxosmithkline ADR, Intl Game Tech, Maestrano, Next, Noble Corporation , Oncimmune, Standard Chartered, Velocity Composites
Computacenter, Glaxosmithkline ADR, Intl Game Tech, Next, Noble Corporation , Oncimmune, Standard Chartered, Velocity Composites
Computacenter, Glaxosmithkline ADR, Intl Game Tech, Maestrano, Next, Noble Corporation , Oncimmune, Standard Chartered, Velocity Composites
Aerohive Networks, Allstate Cp, Ameren Corp, American Water Works Co, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Antero Resources, Apache Corp, Apollo Global Management, Baxter Intl Inc, Bunge, Clean Harbors, Clorox Co, Compass Diversified Holdings, Compass Minerals, Diebold Nixdorf, DineEquity, Entergy, Enterprise Products Partners, FitBit, General Motors (All Sessions), Hanesbrands, Harsco Corporation, HCP, Hess Corp, HollyFrontier, ION Geophysical Corporation, Keane Group, Kellogg Co, Matador Resources, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Molson Coors Br, Newfield Exploration Company, Perkinelmer, Ramco-Gershenson, Rayonier Inc, Realty Income Corp, Rowan Cos Inc, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Sprint Nextel, The Macerich Co, The St Joe Company, Urban Edge Properties, Wisconsin Energy, WPX Energy, Yum Brands
Computacenter, Glaxosmithkline ADR, Intl Game Tech, Next, Noble Corporation , Oncimmune, Standard Chartered, Velocity Composites
Thursday 01 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
1604Mln AU | 1700Mln AU | +3017Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.1 | 52.9 | ||
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
1% | +1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
0% | -1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.8 | 53.0 | 51.1 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 435Bln GB | 435Bln GB | 435.0Bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.75% | 0.75% | 0.75% |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
215k | 215k | 214k |
| 13:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.8 | 53.9 | ||
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
59.8 | 59.0 | 57.7 |
Corporate Statements
BT Group, Croda International, Fidelity Special Values, Greatland Gold, Henderson Group, Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Smith & Nephew
Aircastle, Alleghany Corp, Ametek Inc, Apt Inv Manage, Ares Management, Avon Products, Ball Corp, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Consol Edison, DowDuPont, Emergent Biosolutions Inc, EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Exelon Corp, Fluor Corp, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Generac Holdings, General Growth Prop, Hanesbrands, Healthcare Realty Trust, Hercules Technology Growth, Host Hotels & Resorts, Lincoln Natl, Live Nation Enteratinment, Marathon Petroleum, Metlife Inc, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., Nisource Inc, Noble Energy, NY Times, Parker-Hannifin, Parsley Energy, Pitney Bowes Inc, Platform Speciality, PPL Corp, Puma Biotechnology, Quanta Services, Sealed Air Cp, Shake Shack Inc, Shell Midstream Partners, Sotheby's, Teradata Corporation, The Madison Square Garden Co, The Progressive, US Steel Corp, WayFair Inc, Weightwatchers, Western Union, Zoetis Inc.
BT Group, Croda International, Fidelity Special Values, Greatland Gold, Henderson Group, Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Smith & Nephew
Aircastle, Alleghany Corp, Ametek Inc, Apt Inv Manage, Ares Management, Avon Products, Ball Corp, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Consol Edison, DowDuPont, Emergent Biosolutions Inc, EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Exelon Corp, Fluor Corp, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Generac Holdings, General Growth Prop, Hanesbrands, Healthcare Realty Trust, Hercules Technology Growth, Host Hotels & Resorts, Lincoln Natl, Live Nation Enteratinment, Marathon Petroleum, Metlife Inc, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., Nisource Inc, Noble Energy, NY Times, Parker-Hannifin, Parsley Energy, Pitney Bowes Inc, Platform Speciality, PPL Corp, Puma Biotechnology, Quanta Services, Sealed Air Cp, Shake Shack Inc, Shell Midstream Partners, Sotheby's, Teradata Corporation, The Madison Square Garden Co, The Progressive, US Steel Corp, WayFair Inc, Weightwatchers, Western Union, Zoetis Inc.
BT Group, Croda International, Fidelity Special Values, Greatland Gold, Henderson Group, Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Smith & Nephew
Aircastle, Alleghany Corp, Ametek Inc, Apt Inv Manage, Ares Management, Avon Products, Ball Corp, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Consol Edison, DowDuPont, Emergent Biosolutions Inc, EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Exelon Corp, Fluor Corp, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Generac Holdings, General Growth Prop, Hanesbrands, Healthcare Realty Trust, Hercules Technology Growth, Host Hotels & Resorts, Lincoln Natl, Live Nation Enteratinment, Marathon Petroleum, Metlife Inc, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., Nisource Inc, Noble Energy, NY Times, Parker-Hannifin, Parsley Energy, Pitney Bowes Inc, Platform Speciality, PPL Corp, Puma Biotechnology, Quanta Services, Sealed Air Cp, Shake Shack Inc, Shell Midstream Partners, Sotheby's, Teradata Corporation, The Madison Square Garden Co, The Progressive, US Steel Corp, WayFair Inc, Weightwatchers, Western Union, Zoetis Inc.
Friday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.5% | +2.1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | +0.8% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0 | 49.6 | 49.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.2 | 51.2 | 51.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.3 | 52.3 | 52.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.1 | 52.1 | 52.0 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| 12:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
134k | 190k | +250k |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-53.2Bln US | -53.6Bln US | -54.0Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
0.53Bln CA | 0.15Bln CA | -0.42Bln CA |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
2.3% | 0.5% | +0.7% |
Corporate Statements
Chevron (All Sessions), Duke Energy (All Sessions), Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Graftech International Ltd, ITT Corp, Newell Brands, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Titan International, Vonage Holdings
Chevron (All Sessions), Duke Energy (All Sessions), Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Graftech International Ltd, ITT Corp, Newell Brands, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Titan International, Vonage Holdings
Chevron (All Sessions), Duke Energy (All Sessions), Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Graftech International Ltd, ITT Corp, Newell Brands, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Titan International, Vonage Holdings
Goldplat, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, Parity
Goldplat, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, Parity
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