Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 29/09/14
Monday 29 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.4% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-5.3 | -5.8 | -5.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
100.6 | 100.0 | 99.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.16 | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
3.1 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-10.0 | -11.4 | -11.4 |
| 13:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.6% | +1.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.5% | +1.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | +0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
3.3% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 30 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:05 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
1 | 0 | -1 |
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 0.4% | 0.2% | -1.5% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | +1.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.4% | 0.5% | +2.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.7% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.8% | 0.5% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
11.0% | 10.4% | +9.4% |
| 07:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | -0.3% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
1k | -2k | 13k |
| 09:00 | 
|
Unemployment Rate | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | |
| 09:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.8% | 0.8% | +0.9% |
| 09:30 |
|
Current Account |
|
-18.495bln GB | -17.000bln GB | -23.1bln GB |
| 09:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 3.2% | 3.2% | +3.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.6% | -1.7% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.3% | +2.5% |
| 14:45 |
|
Chicago PMI |
|
64.3 | 61.9 | 60.5 |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
92.4 | 92.5 | 86 |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 01 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
12 | 10 | +13 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
19 | 17 | +13 |
| 02:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
51.1 | 51.0 | 51.1 |
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | +0.1% |
| 02:35 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 51.7 | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | 49.5 | 50.7 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.8 | 48.8 | 48.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.3 | 50.3 | 49.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.3 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.5 | 52.5 | 51.6 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
204k | 210k | 213.0k |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.8 | 53.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
59.0 | 58.5 | 56.6 |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 02 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
0.0% | -3% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-1359mln AU | -700mln AU | -787mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
1.0% | -2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
293k | 297k | 287k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
10.5% | -9.3% | -10.1% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 03 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 49.8 | 49.6 | 48.8 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.4 | 49.4 | 48.4 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 55.4 | 55.4 | 55.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52.4 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 52.3 | 52.3 | 52.0 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 60.5 | 59.1 | 58.7 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-40.6bln $ | -40.9bln $ | -40.1bln $ |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
2.58bln C$ | 1.55bln C$ | -0.61bln C$ |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
142k | 215k | +248k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
63.8 | 61.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
57.1 | 58.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
65.0 | 63.5 | 62.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
59.6 | 58.5 | 58.6 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
57.7 | 55.2 |
Corporate Statements
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