Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/08/21


Monday 30 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.1% 2.1% 2.4%
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 19.3 18.8 16.8
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -5.3 -5.3 -5.3
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 119.0 117.9 117.5
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 14.6 13.4 13.7
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 1.90 1.75
CPI Final Month on Month   0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -1.9% 0.4% -1.8%

Tuesday 31 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.9% 2.9% 2.8%
Industrial Production Prelim   6.5% -2.5% -1.5%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.4 50.2 50.1
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 37.5 36.7
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.1% 1.3%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.7% 5.6% 5.5%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -91k -40k -53k
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 2.7% 2.7% 2.7%
GDP Final Year on Year   17.3% 17.3% 17.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.4% 2.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 9.1% 10.4%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.4% -0.3%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.7% 0.7%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 5.6% 2.5% -1.1%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 129.1 124.0 113.8

Wednesday 01 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.4 52.7
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.8% 0.5% 0.7%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 1.1% 9.2% 9.6%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.5% 0.2% 2.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 10.5% 8.6% 11.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 4.2% -0.9% -5.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 6.2% 3.7% -0.3%
PMI Manufacturing   60.3 60.1 60.9
PMI Manufacturing   57.3 57.3 57.5
PMI Manufacturing   62.7 62.7 62.6
Unemployment Rate   9.7% 9.7% 9.3%
PMI Manufacturing   61.5 61.5 61.4
PMI Manufacturing   60.1 60.1 60.3
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.7% 7.6% 7.6%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 330k 613k 374k
PMI Manufacturing   56.2 57.2
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 59.5 58.6 59.9
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -2.979Mln -3.088Mln -7.169Mln

Thursday 02 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Imports Chart 1% 3%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 10496Mln AU 10200Mln AU 12117Mln AU
Exports Exports Chart 4% 5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.4% 1.1% 2.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 10.2% 11.0% 12.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -75.7Bln US -71.0Bln US -70.1Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 3.23Bln CA 1.40Bln CA 0.78Bln CA
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 353k 335k 340k
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.5% 0.3% 0.4%

Friday 03 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   58.0 58.5 58.0
PMI Services   56.4 56.4 56.3
PMI Services   61.5 61.5 60.8
PMI Composite   59.5 59.5 59.0
PMI Services   59.7 59.7 59.0
PMI Services   55.5 55.5 55.0
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.5% 0.1% -2.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 5.0% 4.8% +3.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.4% 5.2% 5.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 943k 728k 235k
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 64.1 61.5 61.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 67.0 62.8 60.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 53.8 53.7
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 63.7 63.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 82.3 75.4

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