Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/01/17

Monday 30 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.79 0.74 0.77
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 107.8 107.8 107.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -5.1 -4.9 -4.9
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 12.9 12.6 12.9
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 0.1 0.2 0.8
CPI Final Month on Month   0.7% -0.5% -0.6%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6% +1.7%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.1% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.4% +0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.1% +0.3%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.4% +1.6%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.1% +1.8%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -2.5% 1.0% +1.6%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
Industrial Production Prelim   1.5% 0.3% +0.5%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aberforth Geared Income Trust, Convivality, Filtronic, Murgitroyd Group, Newmark Security, Porvair
Flag of the USA
Enterprise Products Partners, General Growth Prop, Packaging Corp of America, Principal Finl

Tuesday 31 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -7 -8 -5
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.2% 0.3% -1.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.8% 0.6% -0.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.9%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.0% 6.0% 5.9%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -17k -5k -26k
Unemployment Rate   11.9% 11.8% 12.0%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.6%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 9.8% 9.8% 9.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.3% 0.9%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.3% +0.4%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 1.4% +2.2%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 54.6 55.0 50.3
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 113.7 113.0 111.8

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Aflac Inc, Alcoa, Amerisourcebergn, Anixter International, Boston Ppty, CIT Group Inc, Consol Energy, Danaher, Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Harley-Davidson, HCA Inc, Mastercard (All Sessions), Nucor, NuStar Energy, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Plantronics, Scotts Miracle Gro, Simon Prop Grp, Sprint Nextel, Thermo Fisher Scientific (All Sessions), Under Armour Class C, United Parcel Service (All Sessions), US Steel Corp, Valero Energy, Xerox
Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Aflac Inc, Alcoa, Amerisourcebergn, Anixter International, Boston Ppty, CIT Group Inc, Consol Energy, Danaher, Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Harley-Davidson, HCA Inc, Mastercard (All Sessions), Nucor, NuStar Energy, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Plantronics, Scotts Miracle Gro, Simon Prop Grp, Sprint Nextel, Thermo Fisher Scientific (All Sessions), Under Armour Class C, United Parcel Service (All Sessions), US Steel Corp, Valero Energy, Xerox
Flag of Great Britain
Alumasc, Britvic, Intermediate Capital Group, Joules, NWF Group, Pentair, Scancell Holdings, Severn Trent, SSE, Thor Mining

Wednesday 01 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.8 52.7
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.4 51.2 51.3
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.5% 4.4% +4.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.8% 0.0% +0.2%
PMI Manufacturing   53.2 53.2 53.0
PMI Manufacturing   53.4 53.4 53.6
PMI Manufacturing   56.5 56.5 56.4
PMI Manufacturing   55.1 55.1 55.2
PMI Manufacturing   56.1 55.9 55.9
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 153k 165k 246.0k
PMI Manufacturing   51.8 53.5
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 54.5 55.0 56.0
FOMC Rate Decision   0.625% 0.625% 0.50-0.75%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
TalkTalk Telecom Group
Flag of the USA
Allstate Cp, Altria Group Inc, American Financial, Ameriprise Fincl, Avalonbay Communities, Avery Dennison, Baxter Intl Inc, Beneficial Mutual Healthcare, CBL & Associates Properties, Dominion Res Inc, Edwards Lifesciences, Evercore Partners Inc., Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, General Motors (All Sessions), Johnson Controls, Kirby Corp, Legg Mason, Lincoln Natl, Manitowoc, Marathon Petroleum, Meritage Homes, Metlife Inc, Owens-Illinois, Pitney Bowes Inc, PPL Corp, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Torchmark Corp, Unum Group, USG Corp

Thursday 02 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 1243mln AU 2200mln AU +3511mln AU
Imports Imports Chart 0.0% +1%
Exports Exports Chart 8.0% +5%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.1 43.2
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.4% 0.7%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.1% 1.3% 1.6%
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
BoE QE Total   435bln GB 435bln GB 435.0bln GB
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 259k 250k 246k

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
AO Smith, Apt Inv Manage, Ball Corp, Becton Dickinsn, Boston Scientific (All Sessions), Chipotle Mex Grill, Cigna Corp, CMS Energy Corp, Computer Science, Conocophillips (All Sessions), Crown Holdings Inc, DeVry Inc., Eaton Vance, Enova Int, EQT Corporation, Esterline Technologies, Hanesbrands, Harris Corporation, Hartford Finl, International Paper, Kimco Realty Cp, Marsh&McLennan, Merck & Co (All Sessions), Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, Mueller Water, National Fuel Gas Co., NY Times, Parker-Hannifin, Perkinelmer, Philip Morris , Polo Ralph Lauren, Snap-On Inc, Tableau Software, Inc., Visa (All Sessions), Xcel Energy, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
3i Group, Aberdeen Asset Management, Compass Group, Cranswick, Johnson Matthey, RPS Group, Soco International, SVG Capital, Vodafone Group

Friday 03 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   52.3 52.5 52.4
PMI Services   53.9 53.9 54.1
PMI Services   53.2 53.2 53.4
PMI Services   53.6 53.6 53.7
PMI Composite   54.3 54.3 54.4
PMI Services   56.2 55.8 54.5
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.3% 1.8% 1.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.3% -0.3%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 156k 175k +227k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.7% 4.7% 4.8%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.6 57.0 56.5
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 52.7 54.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 60.9 61.2 60.3
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -2.4% 1.0% +1.3%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 56.1 59.0
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 60.7 58.6

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Autonation Inc, Clorox Co, Hershey Co, Phillips 66, The Madison Square Garden Co, Weyerhaeuser Co
Flag of the USA
Autonation Inc, Clorox Co, Hershey Co, Phillips 66, The Madison Square Garden Co, Weyerhaeuser Co

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