Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/07/18

Monday 30 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.6% 1.6% +1.8%
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 1.39 1.35 1.29
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -0.60 -0.6 -0.6
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 112.3 112.0 112.1
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 6.9 6.7 5.8
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 14.4 14.2 15.3
CPI Final Month on Month   0.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.0% +0.9%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
AK Steel, Avalonbay Communities, Care.com, Caterpillar (All Sessions), Diamond Offshore, Entertainment Prop Tr, First Data Corp, KBR, Keane Group, Loews Corp, Range Resources Corp, Simon Prop Grp, Sunstone HTL, Unum Group, Vornado Realty
Flag of Great Britain
Cranswick, Keller Group
Flag of Great Britain
Cranswick, Keller Group
Flag of the USA
AK Steel, Avalonbay Communities, Care.com, Caterpillar (All Sessions), Diamond Offshore, Entertainment Prop Tr, First Data Corp, KBR, Keane Group, Loews Corp, Range Resources Corp, Simon Prop Grp, Sunstone HTL, Unum Group, Vornado Realty

Tuesday 31 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -9 -9 -10
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.2% 2.3% 2.4%
Industrial Production Prelim   -0.2% -0.4% -2.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.5 51.3 51.2
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.7 43.5
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.6% 1.5% 3.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -2.1% 1.0% 1.2%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -15k -10k -6k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.2% 5.2% 5.2%
Unemployment Rate   10.7% 10.8% 10.9%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 8.4% 8.3% 8.3%
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter   0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
GDP Prelim Year on Year GDP Prelim Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.2% 1.1%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.0% +0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% +0.1%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.4% +0.5%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 3.1% +5.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% +0.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.3% +2.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 2.0% 2.0% +1.9%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 1.0% +0.5%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 126.4 126.0 127.4

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Anglo American, BP, Intl Game Tech, Soco International, Standard Chartered
Flag of the USA
AGCO Corp, Alcoa, American Tower Corp, Anadarko, Archer Daniels, Artisan Partners, Ashland Inc, Boston Ppty, Charter Communications, Cummins Inc, Devon Energy, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Fidelity Natl In, Firstenergy, General Growth Prop, Genworth Finl, Harris Corporation, Huntsman, Hyatt, Masco Corp, Newfield Exploration Company, ONEOK, Pandora Media Inc, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Plantronics, Polo Ralph Lauren, Procter & Gamble (All Sessions), Scotts Miracle Gro, Systemax, The Progressive, Unisys Corp, US Silica Holdings Inc, Vulcan Materials, WellCare Health Plans, Whiting Petroleum Corporation, Wisconsin Energy, Xylem

Wednesday 01 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   51.6 52.3
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.5% 0.2% +0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.0% 1.9% +2.5%
PMI Manufacturing   53.3 53.0 51.5
PMI Manufacturing   53.1 53.1 53.3
PMI Manufacturing   57.3 57.3 56.9
PMI Manufacturing   55.1 55.1 55.1
PMI Manufacturing   54.4 54.2 54.0
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 177k 185k 219.0k
PMI Manufacturing   57.1 56.9
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 60.2 59.5 58.1
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -6.147Mln -2.794Mln 3.803Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   1.875% 1.875% 1.875%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aerohive Networks, Allstate Cp, AMC Entertainment, American Financial, American Water Works Co, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Antero Resources, Apache Corp, Autonation Inc, Bunge, CBL & Associates Properties, CF Industries, Chesapeake Energy, Clean Harbors, Compass Diversified Holdings, DaVita, DineEquity, Dominion Res Inc, Emerge Energy Services, Entergy, Enterprise Products Partners, FitBit, FMC Corporation, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Halcon Resources, Hanesbrands, Humana, ION Geophysical Corporation, Laredo Petroleum, Lincoln Natl, Marathon Oil, Matador Resources, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, MetroPCS Comm, Molson Coors Br, Nisource Inc, Paramount Group, Parker Drilling, Perkinelmer, Pitney Bowes Inc, Prudential Finl, Public Service Enterprise, Public Storage, Rayonier Inc, Realty Income Corp, Rowan Cos Inc, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, Sprint Nextel, Sturm and Ruger Co, The Macerich Co, The St Joe Company, US Steel Corp, Vonage Holdings, Williams Comps, WPX Energy
Flag of Great Britain
BAE Systems, BBA Aviation, Capita, CML Microsystems, Fidelity European Values, Henderson Group, Lloyds Banking Group, MAN Group, Next

Thursday 02 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 827Mln AU 900Mln AU +1873Mln AU
Imports Imports Chart 3.0% -1%
Exports Exports Chart 4.0% +3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.3% 0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.0% 3.5% 3.6%
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.75% 0.75%
BoE QE Total   435Bln GB 435Bln GB 435.0Bln GB
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   3 7 9
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   6 2 0
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 217k 220k 218k
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 0.4% 0.7% +0.7%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aviva, Convatec, Countrywide, Inmarsat, London Stock Exchange Group, Mitchells & Butlers, Noble Corporation , Rolls-Royce Holdings, RPS Group, Sage Group, Spirent Communications
Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Alleghany Corp, Alliant Energy Corp, American International Group, Amerisourcebergn, Amerus, Apollo Global Management, Apt Inv Manage, Ares Management, Avon Products, B&G Foods, Ball Corp, Becton Dickinsn, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Clorox Co, Consol Edison, Consol Energy, DowDuPont, Duke Energy (All Sessions), EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Esterline Technologies, Exelon Corp, FleetCor Technologies, Fluor Corp, Global Payment, Greenhill and Co, HCP, Healthcare Realty Trust, Hercules Technology Growth, HollyFrontier, Homeowners Choice, Intercontinental Exchange, Intrepid Potash, Kellogg Co, MGM Mirage, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., NRG Energy, Nu Skin Enterprises, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Parker-Hannifin, Pinnacle Foods, Platform Speciality, Post Holdings, Quanta Services, Royal Caribbean Cruises (All Sessions), Sally Beauty Holdings, Scana Corporation, Sealed Air Cp, Shake Shack Inc, Shell Midstream Partners, Southwestern Energy, Tableau Software, Inc., Teradata Corporation, WayFair Inc, Western Union, Yum Brands, Zoetis Inc.
Flag of Great Britain
Aviva, Convatec, Countrywide, Inmarsat, London Stock Exchange Group, Mitchells & Butlers, Noble Corporation , Rolls-Royce Holdings, RPS Group, Sage Group, Spirent Communications
Flag of Great Britain
Aviva, Convatec, Countrywide, Inmarsat, London Stock Exchange Group, Mitchells & Butlers, Noble Corporation , Rolls-Royce Holdings, RPS Group, Sage Group, Spirent Communications
Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Alleghany Corp, Alliant Energy Corp, American International Group, Amerisourcebergn, Amerus, Apollo Global Management, Apt Inv Manage, Ares Management, Avon Products, B&G Foods, Ball Corp, Becton Dickinsn, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Clorox Co, Consol Edison, Consol Energy, DowDuPont, Duke Energy (All Sessions), EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Esterline Technologies, Exelon Corp, FleetCor Technologies, Fluor Corp, Global Payment, Greenhill and Co, HCP, Healthcare Realty Trust, Hercules Technology Growth, HollyFrontier, Homeowners Choice, Intercontinental Exchange, Intrepid Potash, Kellogg Co, MGM Mirage, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, National Fuel Gas Co., NRG Energy, Nu Skin Enterprises, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Parker-Hannifin, Pinnacle Foods, Platform Speciality, Post Holdings, Quanta Services, Royal Caribbean Cruises (All Sessions), Sally Beauty Holdings, Scana Corporation, Sealed Air Cp, Shake Shack Inc, Shell Midstream Partners, Southwestern Energy, Tableau Software, Inc., Teradata Corporation, WayFair Inc, Western Union, Yum Brands, Zoetis Inc.

Friday 03 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.4%
PMI Services   54.3 53.6 54.0
PMI Services   55.3 55.3 54.9
PMI Services   54.4 54.4 54.1
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 2.1% 1.5% 1.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.7% 0.4% 0.5%
PMI Services   54.4 54.4 54.2
PMI Composite   54.3 54.3 54.3
PMI Services   55.1 54.7 53.5
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.80% -0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 0.40% 1.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.4% 1.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 213k 190k +157k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.0% 3.9% 3.9%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -43.1Bln US -46.5Bln US -46.3Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -2.77Bln CA -2.30Bln CA -0.63Bln CA
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 63.9 63.2 56.5
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 53.6 56.1
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 63.2 57.0
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 60.7 63.4
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 59.1 58.6 55.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Cobham, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels, Pets At Home, Royal Bank Of Scotland Group
Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, CenterPoint Energy, EW Scripps, Graftech International Ltd, ITT Corp, Noble Energy, Omega Healthcare Investors, Pinnacl West Cap, Titan International

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