Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/05/16

Monday 30 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -1.1% -1.2% -0.8%
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter   0.5% 0.50% 0.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.4% -4.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.7%
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.13 0.16 0.26
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -9.3 -7.0 -7.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 11.5 11.0 11.3
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -3.7 -3.6 -3.6
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 103.9 104.4 104.7
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.6% -0.3% -0.5%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -2.1% -1.6%

Tuesday 31 May

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
Industrial Production Prelim   3.8% -1.5% +0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.1% 0.9% -0.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.7% 1.9% 2.3%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.5%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -16k -5k -11k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.2% 6.2% 6.1%
Unemployment Rate   11.4% 11.4% 11.7%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 10.2% 10.2% 10.2%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.6%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% +0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.6% +1.6%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.2% +0.2%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% +0.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.0% +0.6%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.1% -0.1% -0.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 0.8% +1.1%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 0.8% 2.9% 2.4%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 50.4 50.7 49.3
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 94.2 96.0 92.6
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.6% 2.5%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
APC Technology, Cambria Africa, Evolution Group, Renold, Scottish INV TST

Wednesday 01 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.1 50.0 50.1
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.6% 0.8% +1.1%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 3.0% 2.8% +3.1%
PMI Manufacturing   47.6 47.7
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.9% 4.7% +4.7%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.2%
PMI Manufacturing   53.9 53.0 52.4
PMI Manufacturing   48.3 48.3 48.4
PMI Manufacturing   52.4 52.4 52.1
PMI Manufacturing   51.5 51.5 51.5
PMI Manufacturing   49.2 49.6 50.1
PMI Manufacturing   52.2 52.1
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 50.8 50.4 51.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Acal, Fusionex, Telford Homes
Flag of the USA
Box, Inc, EnerSys, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Guidewire Software

Thursday 02 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.2%
Exports Exports Chart 4.0% +1%
Imports Imports Chart 1.0% -1%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -2163mln AU -2000mln AU -1579mln AU
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 40.8 40.9
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -4.2% -4.1% -4.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.1% -0.3%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 156k 175k 173.0k
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 268k 270k 267k

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Coopers Cos Inc, Gap Inc, Joy Global Inc
Flag of Great Britain
AFC Energy, Fidelity China Spec. Situation, Fox Marble, Johnson Matthey, Nighthawk Energy, Personal Assets Trust, RPC Group, Summit Corp

Friday 03 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   52.1 51.5 49.8
PMI Services   51.8 51.8 51.6
PMI Services   55.2 55.2 55.2
PMI Composite   52.9 52.9 53.1
PMI Services   53.1 53.1 53.3
PMI Services   52.3 52.5 53.5
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.1% 1.9% 1.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.3% 0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.41bln C$ -2.45bln C$ -2.94bln C$
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 160k 164k +38k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.0% 4.9% 4.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -40.4bln $ -41.3bln $ -37.4bln $
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.3% 0.2% +0.2%
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 59.9 54.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 53.0 49.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 58.8 55.1
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 55.7 55.5 52.9
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.5% 1.9% +1.9%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 53.4 55.6

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Verona Pharma

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