Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/10/17

Monday 30 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.8% 3.0% 4.1%
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 113.0 113.4 114.0
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart 6.6 7.1 7.9
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -1.00 -1.0 -1.0
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 1.34 1.41 1.44
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 15.3 15.4 16.2
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -0.1% +0.6%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.4%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.3% +1.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.4% +0.4%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.4% +1.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.5% 1.8%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Industrial Production Prelim   2.0% -1.5% -1.1%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Avalonbay Communities, Compass Minerals, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Dominion Res Inc, Edison Intl, First Data Corp, Intrepid Potash, LSB Industries Inc, Noble Energy, Omega Healthcare Investors, Sempra Energy, Sunstone HTL, Unisys Corp
Flag of Great Britain
Artilium, Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, HSBC Hldgs, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels
Flag of Great Britain
Artilium, Blackrock Smaller Companies TST, HSBC Hldgs, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels
Flag of the USA
Avalonbay Communities, Compass Minerals, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Dominion Res Inc, Edison Intl, First Data Corp, Intrepid Potash, LSB Industries Inc, Noble Energy, Omega Healthcare Investors, Sempra Energy, Sunstone HTL, Unisys Corp

Tuesday 31 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -9 -10 -10
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 52.4 52.0 51.6
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5%
Unemployment Rate   11.2% 11.1% 11.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 9.1% 9.0% 8.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.8%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.4% -0.3%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.1% -0.1%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.5%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 65.2 61.0 66.2
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 119.8 121.0 125.9

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
3D Systems Corp, Aetna Inc, AGCO Corp, AK Steel, American Tower Corp, Anadarko, Arch Coal, Artisan Partners, B&G Foods, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Devon Energy, Ecolab Inc, Fidelity Natl In, General Growth Prop, HCA Inc, KBR, Kellogg Co, Mosaic, Newfield Exploration Company, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Plantronics, Public Service Enterprise, Ramco-Gershenson, Sturm and Ruger Co, US Steel Corp, WellCare Health Plans, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
Croda International, Earthport, Egdon Resources, Getech, Henderson International, Pipehawk, Scottish Oriental Smlr Co TST, Smith (DS)

Wednesday 01 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.5 52.8
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.0% 2.2% +2.5%
PMI Manufacturing   55.9 55.8 56.3
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 135k 200k 235.0k
PMI Manufacturing   55.0 54.3
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 60.8 59.5 58.7
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   0.856Mln -1.756Mln -2.435Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   1.125% 1.125%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Standard Chartered, Thor Mining
Flag of the USA
Aerohive Networks, Allstate Cp, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Apollo Global Management, Bunge, CF Industries, Clean Harbors, Clorox Co, Community Health Systems, CVR Energy, Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, Dynegy Inc., Emerge Energy Services, Estee Lauder, Ferro Corp, FitBit, FleetCor Technologies, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, General Cable, Hanesbrands, Healthcare Realty Trust, HollyFrontier, Host Hotels & Resorts, ION Geophysical Corporation, Keane Group, Kirby Corp, Laredo Petroleum, Lincoln Natl, Marathon Oil, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, Mueller Water, Murphy Oil Corp, Nisource Inc, Nu Skin Enterprises, NY Times, Occidental Petroleum, Parker Drilling, Pioneer Natural Resources, Pitney Bowes Inc, PPL Corp, Prudential Finl, Rayonier Inc, Rowan Cos Inc, Shake Shack Inc, Stone Energy Corporation, Terex Corp, Urban Edge Properties, Williams Comps, WPX Energy, Yelp Inc

Thursday 02 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 989Mln AU 1200Mln AU +1745Mln AU
Imports Imports Chart 0.0% 0%
Exports Exports Chart 1.0% +3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.9 44.5
PMI Manufacturing   56.3 56.6 57.8
PMI Manufacturing   56.7 56.7 56.1
PMI Manufacturing   60.5 60.5 60.6
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -23k -10k -11k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
PMI Manufacturing   58.6 58.6 58.5
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   7 3 2
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   2 6 7
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.25% 0.50% 0.5%
BoE QE Total   435Bln GB 435Bln GB 435Bln GB
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 233k 231k 229k
FOMC Rate Decision   1.125% 1.125% 1.000 - 1.250%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aircastle, Alliant Energy Corp, American International Group, Amerisourcebergn, Amerus, Ametek Inc, Assurant, Autonation Inc, Avon Products, Becton Dickinsn, Blue Apron, Care.com, CBL & Associates Properties, CBS Corp, Chemours Company, Chesapeake Energy, Church & Dwight Co, Cobalt International Energy, Inc, Comstock Resources, Consol Edison, Develop Diver, DowDuPont, Enterprise Products Partners, EOG Resources, EPAM Systems, Exelon Corp, Fairmount Santrol Holdings, Fluor Corp, Gannett Co, HCP, Hercules Technology Growth, Homeowners Choice, ITT Corp, MDU Resources, Motorola Solutions, National Fuel Gas Co., Nationstar Mortgage, Newell Rubbermd, NRG Energy, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Ocwen Financial, Pandora Media Inc, Parker-Hannifin, Perkinelmer, PG&E Corp, Platform Speciality, Quanta Services, Red Lion Hotels, Spirit Realty Capital Inc, Tableau Software, Inc., Targa Resources, Teradata Corporation, The AES Corp, Titan International, Vulcan Materials, WayFair Inc, Yum Brands, Zoetis Inc.
Flag of Great Britain
BT Group, Noble Corporation

Friday 03 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -0.6% 0.4% 0%
PMI Services   53.6 53.3 55.6
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.2% 6.2% 6.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.2% 4.2% 4.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -42.4Bln US -43.2Bln US -43.5Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.41Bln CA -3.00Bln CA -3.18Bln CA
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart -33k 310k +261k
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 66.3 62.7
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 59.8 58.5 60.1
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.2% 1.3% +1.4%
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 61.3 61.0 62.2
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 63.0 62.8
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 56.8 57.5

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, Ares Management, CB Richard Ellis, CenterPoint Energy, Duke Energy (All Sessions), EW Scripps, Moody's, Pinnacl West Cap, Shell Midstream Partners, Sotheby's, The Madison Square Garden Co, The Progressive
Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, Ares Management, CB Richard Ellis, CenterPoint Energy, Duke Energy (All Sessions), EW Scripps, Moody's, Pinnacl West Cap, Shell Midstream Partners, Sotheby's, The Madison Square Garden Co, The Progressive
Flag of Great Britain
Croma Security, Smith & Nephew
Flag of Great Britain
Croma Security, Smith & Nephew

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