Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/10/23
Monday 30 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | -1.0% | -0.8% |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.2% | -1.1% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-17.9 | -17.9 | -17.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-9.0 | -9.5 | -9.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.36 | -0.33 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
4.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
93.3 | 93.0 | 93.3 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 23:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -0.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
Tuesday 31 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.2 | 50.2 | 49.5 |
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
35.2 | 35.7 | |
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.3% | -4.0% | -4.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.5% | -0.8% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | -0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-12.2% | -14.1% | |
| 12:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 14:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
103.0 | 100.0 | 102.6 |
Wednesday 01 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.5 | 48.7 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
-5.3% | -4.8% | -3.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | -0.4% | 0.9% |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.2 | 45.2 | 44.8 | |
| 12:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
89k | 150k | 113k |
| 13:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.5 | 48.6 | ||
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
49.0 | 49.0 | 46.7 |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.371Mln | 1.261Mln | 0.774Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 5.375% | 5.375% | 5.250 - 5.500% |
Thursday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
0% | 8% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
4% | -1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
9640Mln AU | 9400Mln AU | 6786Mln AU |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.8 | 46.2 | 44.9 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 42.6 | 42.6 | 42.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 40.7 | 40.7 | 40.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
10k | 15k | 30k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 43.0 | 43.0 | 43.1 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 5 | 6 | 6 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
5.25% | 5.25% | 5.25% |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
210k | 210k | 217k |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% |
Friday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
16.6Bln EU | 16.3Bln EU | 16.5Bln EU |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.0% | -0.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.5 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
336k | 180k | 150k |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
297K | 180K | 150K |
| 12:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
58.8 | 54.1 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
58.9 | 58.6 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
53.4 | 50.2 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.6 | 53.0 | 51.8 |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
51.8 | 55.5 |
SEARCH FOR AN ARTICLE:
Enter a keyword and search for all relevant articlesMARKET ANALYSIS
RECENT POSTS
DISCLAIMER
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 61% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.
Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.
No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.
The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.
