Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/09/13
Monday 30 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:13 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 52.5 | ||
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 3.4% | -0.4% | -0.7% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 07:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | -2.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.5% | +0.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
1.4% | +1.7% | |
| 14:45 | 
|
Chicago PMI |
|
53.0 | 54.0 | 55.7 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 01 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
12 | 14 | +14 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
4 | 7 | +12 |
| 02:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
51.0 | 51.5 | 51.1 |
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 05:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| 08:43 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.3 | 51.0 | 50.8 | |
| 08:48 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.8 | |
| 08:53 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51.1 | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
7k | -5k | 25k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| 08:58 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.1 | 51.1 | 51.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | |
| 09:28 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.2 | 57.3 | 56.7 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
12.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.1 | 54.2 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
55.7 | 55.0 | 56.2 |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 02 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
0.0% | +3% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-765mln AU | -450mln AU | -815mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
4.0% | +1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.2% | -0.6% | |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
176k | 180k | 166.0k |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 03 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.4% | 0.5% | +0.3% |
| 08:43 |
|
PMI Services | 48.8 | 49.1 | 52.7 | |
| 08:48 |
|
PMI Services | 50.7 | 50.7 | 51.0 | |
| 08:53 |
|
PMI Services | 54.4 | 54.4 | 53.7 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Composite | 52.1 | 52.1 | 52.2 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Services | 52.1 | 52.1 | 52.2 | |
| 09:28 |
|
PMI Services | 60.5 | 60.0 | 60.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-1.3% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
305k | 313k | 308k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
53.4 | 57.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
58.6 | 57.4 | 54.4 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
57.0 | 52.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
62.2 | 60.0 | 55.1 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
60.5 | 59.6 | |
| 16:00 |
|
BoJ Rate Decision | 0.10% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 04 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 0.1% | -0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-8.08bln GB | ||
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-2.65bln GB | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.2% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Corporate Statements
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