Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/09/19

Monday 30 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Prelim   1.3% -0.5% -1.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -2.0% 0.9% 2.0%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.5 49.5 49.8
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -2.2% 0.5% 0.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.4% 3.2%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 4k 5k -10k
Unemployment Rate   9.9% 9.9% 9.5%
Current Account Current Account Chart -30.045Bln GB -19.500Bln GB -25.200Bln GB
GDP Final Year on Year   1.2% 1.2% 1.3%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.5% 7.5% 7.4%
CPI Final Month on Month   -0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.2%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -1.7% -1.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Ariana Resources, Ceps, DCD Media, Nasstar, Savannah Petroleum, Trafalgar Property Group

Tuesday 01 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.2% 2.3% 2.2%
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 23 20 21
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 7 2 5
PMI Manufacturing   48.9 48.9
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 1.00% 0.75% 0.75%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.0% 0.1% -0.2%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 0.6% 0.5% 0.2%
PMI Manufacturing   48.7 48.0 47.8
PMI Manufacturing   50.3 50.3 50.1
PMI Manufacturing   41.4 41.4 41.7
PMI Manufacturing   45.6 45.6 45.7
PMI Manufacturing   47.4 47.0 48.3
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
PMI Manufacturing   49.1 51.0
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 49.1 50.1 47.8

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Mccormick & Co
Flag of Great Britain
SCS Group

Wednesday 02 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 37.1 35.6
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 195k 140k 135k
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   3.104Mln 1.567Mln 3.100Mln

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Acuity RM Group Plc, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Lennar Corp
Flag of Great Britain
Tesco

Thursday 03 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 7268Mln AU 6000Mln AU 5926Mln AU
Exports Exports Chart 1% -3%
Imports Imports Chart 3% 0%
PMI Services   50.6 50.4 51.4
PMI Services   51.6 51.6 51.1
PMI Services   52.5 52.5 51.4
PMI Services   52.0 52.0 51.6
PMI Composite   50.4 50.4 50.1
PMI Services   50.6 50.3 49.5
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.3% -0.5%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.2% 1.9% 2.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.2% -0.5% -0.8%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 215k 215k 219k
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 58.2 60.0
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 60.3 53.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 53.1 50.4
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 61.5 59.0 55.2
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.4% -0.2% -0.1%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.4 55.0 52.6

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Moneysupermarket.com Group
Flag of the USA
Constellation A

Friday 04 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 130k 145k 136k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.12Bln CA -1.00Bln CA -0.96Bln CA
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -54.0Bln US -54.5Bln US -54.9Bln US
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.5%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Henderson Eurotrust

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