Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/09/24
Monday 30 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.3% | +2.8% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 3.1% | -0.9% | -3.3% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.1 | 49.5 | 49.8 |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-1.1% | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Current Account |
|
-20.995Bln GB | -33.000Bln GB | -28.397Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.3% | -0.1% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tuesday 01 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
13 | 13 | 13 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
33 | 32 | 34 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.6 | 49.7 | ||
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.0% | 0.4% | +0.7% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.4 | 49.0 | 48.3 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 40.3 | 40.3 | 40.6 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.0 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.5 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.5 | 50.4 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
47.2 | 47.5 | 47.2 |
Wednesday 02 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.7 | 36.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
99k | 120k | 143k |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -4.471Mln | -1.301Mln | 3.889Mln |
Thursday 03 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | 51.0 | 50.5 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.3 | 48.3 | 49.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 50.6 | 50.6 | 50.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 48.9 | 48.9 | 49.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.5 | 50.5 | 51.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52.4 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.1% | -2.4% | -2.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | +0.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
218k | 220k | 225k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
5.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
53.0 | 59.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
53.3 | 59.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.5 | 51.7 | 54.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
50.2 | 48.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
57.3 | 59.4 |
Friday 04 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
95 | ||
| 08:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.5% | 0.2% | +1.4% | |
| 11:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.50% | -0.5% | |
| 11:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.00% | +0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
142k | 140k | 254k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
78K | 147K | 254K |
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