Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/01/22
Monday 31 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | |
Consumer Confidence |
|
39.1 | 36.7 | |
| 09:00 | |
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 6.2% | |
| 10:00 | |
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| 10:00 | |
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13:00 | |
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.5% | -0.3% | +0.4% | |
| 13:30 | |
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.7% | |
| 13:30 | |
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
18.1% | 16.1% | |
| 23:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
Tuesday 01 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | |
Retail Sales |
|
7.3% | -4.4% | |
| 00:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 54.6 | 55.4 | ||
| 03:30 | |
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| 07:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| 07:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.6% | -1.4% | -5.5% |
| 08:45 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 62.0 | 61.0 | 58.3 | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 55.5 | 55.5 | 55.5 | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 60.5 | 60.5 | 59.8 | |
| 08:55 | |
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-23k | -6k | -48k |
| 08:55 | |
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| 09:00 | |
Unemployment Rate | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 59.0 | 59.0 | 58.7 | |
| 09:30 | |
Money Supply M4 | 0.7% | +0.1% | ||
| 09:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 56.9 | 56.9 | 57.3 | |
| 10:00 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| 13:30 | |
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 14:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 56.5 | 56.2 | ||
| 15:00 | |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
58.7 | 57.5 | 57.6 |
Wednesday 02 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:15 | |
ADP employment report |
|
807k | 207k | -301k |
| 15:30 | |
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.377Mln | 1.525Mln | -1.046Mln |
Thursday 03 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | |
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
9423Mln AU | 8356Mln AU | |
| 00:30 | |
Exports |
|
2% | +1% | |
| 00:30 | |
Imports |
|
6% | +5% | |
| 08:45 | |
PMI Services | 53.0 | 50.0 | 48.5 | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Services | 53.1 | 53.1 | 53.1 | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Services | 52.2 | 52.2 | 52.2 | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Services | 51.2 | 51.2 | 51.1 | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Composite | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.3 | |
| 09:30 | |
PMI Services | 53.3 | 53.3 | 54.1 | |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
23.7% | 26.1% | +26.2% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.8% | 2.8% | +2.9% |
| 12:00 | |
BoE QE Total | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | ||
| 12:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 | |
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.25% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 8 | 9 | 9 | |
| 12:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:45 | |
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 13:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
260k | 245k | 238k |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
54.9 | 52.3 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
82.5 | 82.3 | |
| 15:00 | |
Factory Orders |
|
1.6% | -0.2% | -0.4% |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
61.5 | 61.7 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
67.6 | 59.9 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
62.0 | 59.5 | 59.9 |
Friday 04 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.4% | 0.5% | -0.2% | |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
7.8% | 5.1% | +2.0% |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.0% | -0.5% | -3.0% |
| 13:30 | |
Average Earnings |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
| 13:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
199k | 150k | 467k |
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