Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/07/17

Monday 31 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Prelim   -3.6% 1.7% +1.6%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 51.7 51.6 51.4
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.2% 1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.8% 2.7% 1.5%
Unemployment Rate   11.3% 11.2% 11.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 9.3% 9.2% 9.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart %
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart %
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 4.9% +3.3%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.3% -1.0%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 65.7 60.0 58.9
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart -0.8% 0.7% +1.5%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Fidelity European Values, Fidessa Group, Fitness First, HSBC Hldgs, Keller Group, Leeds Group, Tekcapital, Trinity Mirror
Flag of Great Britain
Fidelity European Values, Fidessa Group, Fitness First, HSBC Hldgs, Keller Group, Leeds Group, Tekcapital, Trinity Mirror
Flag of the USA
Artisan Partners, Boardwalk Pipeline, Diamond Offshore, Loews Corp, New Residential Investment Corp, Owens-Illinois, Pandora Media Inc, Roper Industries, US Silica Holdings Inc

Tuesday 01 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.2 52.1
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 1.1% -0.1% +0.3%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.1% 2.7% +2.9%
PMI Manufacturing   55.2 55.2 55.1
PMI Manufacturing   55.4 55.4 54.9
PMI Manufacturing   58.3 58.3 58.1
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 7k -5k -9k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%
PMI Manufacturing   56.8 56.8 56.6
PMI Manufacturing   54.3 54.4 55.1
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% +0.1%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.4% +1.5%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.0%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.4% +1.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.0%
PMI Manufacturing   54.7 55.5
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 57.8 56.5 56.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Allstate Cp, American Financial, Apollo Commercial Real Estate, Ashland Inc, Assurant, Beazer Homes, Boston Ppty, Community Health Systems, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Devon Energy, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Emerson Electric, EOG Resources, Flotek Industries, FMC Corporation, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Gannett Co, Hanesbrands, Harris Corporation, Louisiana Pacific, Meritage Homes, Mosaic, Newfield Exploration Company, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Phillips 66, Pioneer Natural Resources, Pitney Bowes Inc, Ramco-Gershenson, Range Resources Corp, Royal Caribbean Cruises (All Sessions), Scotts Miracle Gro, Sprint Nextel, Sunstone HTL, Under Armour Class C, Unisys Corp, Xerox, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
4imprint Group, AA Ltd, Anglo American, BBA Aviation, BP, Filtronic, Genel Energy, Greggs, Intl Game Tech, JKX Oil & Gas, Meggitt, NWF Group, SDL, Tavistock Investments
Flag of the USA
Allstate Cp, American Financial, Apollo Commercial Real Estate, Ashland Inc, Assurant, Beazer Homes, Boston Ppty, Community Health Systems, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Devon Energy, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Emerson Electric, EOG Resources, Flotek Industries, FMC Corporation, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Gannett Co, Hanesbrands, Harris Corporation, Louisiana Pacific, Meritage Homes, Mosaic, Newfield Exploration Company, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Phillips 66, Pioneer Natural Resources, Pitney Bowes Inc, Ramco-Gershenson, Range Resources Corp, Royal Caribbean Cruises (All Sessions), Scotts Miracle Gro, Sprint Nextel, Sunstone HTL, Under Armour Class C, Unisys Corp, Xerox, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
4imprint Group, AA Ltd, Anglo American, BBA Aviation, BP, Filtronic, Genel Energy, Greggs, Intl Game Tech, JKX Oil & Gas, Meggitt, NWF Group, SDL, Tavistock Investments

Wednesday 02 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.3 43.8
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.3% 2.4% 2.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -0.1% -0.1%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -0.1% -0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.3% 2.4% 2.5%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 158k 185k 178.0k

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Aggreko, CML Microsystems, Henderson High Income Trust, Impax Environmental Markets, Standard Chartered, Statpro Group, William Hill
Flag of the USA
3D Systems Corp, Aerohive Networks, American International Group, American States Water Co, Ametek Inc, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Apollo Global Management, Autonation Inc, Avalonbay Communities, Bunge, Cardinal Hlth, Centurytel Inc, CF Industries, Chemours Company, Clean Harbors, Compass Diversified Holdings, Dominion Res Inc, Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, Entergy, Exelon Corp, Fidelity Natl In, FitBit, General Cable, General Growth Prop, Halcon Resources, Healthcare Realty Trust, Homeowners Choice, Intrepid Potash, ION Geophysical Corporation, KBR, Lincoln Natl, Marathon Oil, Matador Resources, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, Murphy Oil Corp, Neenah Paper, Nisource Inc, Nu Skin Enterprises, Oasis Petroleum Inc, Occidental Petroleum, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Ocwen Financial, Parsley Energy, Rayonier Inc, Rowan Cos Inc, Norfolk Southern, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, The Madison Square Garden Sports, Sturm and Ruger Co, Tableau Software, Inc., Terex Corp, Time Warner, Vulcan Materials, Williams Comps, WPX Energy
Flag of Great Britain
Aggreko, CML Microsystems, Henderson High Income Trust, Impax Environmental Markets, Standard Chartered, Statpro Group, William Hill

Thursday 03 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart 9.0% -1%
Imports Imports Chart 1.0% +2%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 2471mln AU 1800mln AU +856mln AU
PMI Services   53.6 54.1 56.3
PMI Services   55.9 55.9 56.0
PMI Services   53.5 53.5 53.1
PMI Composite   55.8 55.8 55.7
PMI Services   55.4 55.4 55.4
PMI Services   53.4 53.6 53.8
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.6% 3.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.1% 0.5%
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   3 2 2
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.25% 0.25%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
BoE QE Total   435bln GB 435bln GB
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   5 6 6
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 244k 242k 240k
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 60.5 55.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 55.8 56.5 53.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 60.8 59.6 55.9
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 57.4 57.0 53.9
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.8% 2.9% +3.0%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 52.1 55.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Air Lease Corporation, Alleghany Corp, Alliant Energy Corp, Amerisourcebergn, Amerus, Apache Corp, Avon Products, Axalta Coating Systems, B&G Foods, Ball Corp, Becton Dickinsn, CBL & Associates Properties, CenterPoint Energy, Chesapeake Energy, Church & Dwight Co, Consol Edison, Duke Energy (All Sessions), Dynegy Inc., Emerge Energy Services, Enterprise Products Partners, Entertainment Prop Tr, EPAM Systems, Esterline Technologies, EW Scripps, FleetCor Technologies, Fluor Corp, Fortress Invest, Gain Capital, Gannett Co, Global Payment, Harsco Corporation, Hercules Technology Growth, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg Co, Kindred Healthcare, Koppers Holdings, Mine Safety Appliances, Motorola Solutions, MSCI Inc, Mueller Water, National Fuel Gas Co., Natl Semiconduct, NRG Energy, Paramount Group, Parker-Hannifin, Perkinelmer, Post Holdings, PPL Corp, Quanta Services, Quintiles IMS Holdings, Red Lion Hotels, Sally Beauty Holdings, Scana Corporation, Shake Shack Inc, Sotheby's, Southwestern Energy, Spirit Realty Capital Inc, Targa Resources, The Progressive, The St Joe Company, Titan International, Vonage Holdings, Weightwatchers, Wyndham Wrld, Yelp Inc, Yum Brands
Flag of Great Britain
Byotrol, Communisis, Esure, Fundsmith Emerging, Inmarsat, London Stock Exchange Group, Noble Corporation , Non-Standard Finance, Portmeirion, Spirent Communications, Stratex Intl, Work Group

Friday 04 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.6% 0.2% +0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.10% 0.6%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.00% 1.5%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 222k 183k +209k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.4% 4.3% 4.3%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -46.5bln $ -45.0bln $ -43.6bln $
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.09bln C$ -1.35bln C$ -3.60bln C$
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.5% 6.5% 6.3%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.5% 1.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
AON Corp, JPMorgan American IT, Kennedy Wilson Real Estate, Nakama Group, Pearson, RPS Group
Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, Ares Management, Calgon Carb, Cooper Tire & Rubber, ITT Corp, Newell Rubbermd, Sempra Energy

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