Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/03/14
Monday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:15 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 55.5 | 53.9 | ||
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 3.8% | 0.3% | -2.3% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.5% | -0.5% | 1.3% |
| 07:45 | 
|
GDP Detailed Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.30% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 14:45 | 
|
Chicago PMI |
|
59.8 | 59.0 | 55.9 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
20 | 24 | +24 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
16 | 18 | +17 |
| 02:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.2 | 50.3 | 50.3 |
| 04:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.3 | 52.1 | 52.4 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.9 | 51.9 | 52.1 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.7 | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-14k | -10k | -12k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.0 | 53.0 | 53.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.9 | 56.7 | 55.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
12.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.4% | 0.8% | +1.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 2.0% | +1.8% |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.9 | 53.3 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.2 | 54.0 | 53.7 |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
9.4% | 9.5% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.6% | -1.7% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
139k | 195k | 191.0k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.7% | 1.2% | +1.6% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
Exports |
|
4.0% | 0% | |
| 01:30 |
|
Imports |
|
1.0% | +1% | |
| 01:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
1433mln AU | 850mln AU | +1200mln AU |
| 01:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
1.2% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.9 | 52.0 | 49.5 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.5 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 54.0 | 54.0 | 53.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 53.2 | 53.2 | 53.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.2 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 58.2 | 58.1 | 57.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.6% | -0.6% | 0.4% |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-39.1bln $ | -38.5bln $ | -42.30bln $ |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
311k | 317k | 326k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.18bln C$ | 0.20bln C$ | +0.29bln C$ |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
47.5 | 53.6 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
51.3 | 53.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
53.7 | 58.3 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.6 | 53.5 | 53.1 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
54.6 | 55.2 | 53.4 |
Corporate Statements
Friday 04 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
2.4% | -1.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
175k | 200k | +192k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
Corporate Statements
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