Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/10/16

Monday 31 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.2% -1.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.0%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.1% -0.7%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -1.3% -0.5%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.2% 0.4%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.0% +1.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.7% +1.7%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.4% +0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -0.1% +0.3%
Chicago PMI Chicago PMI Chart 54.2 54.0 50.6
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.6% +1.9%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Inland Plc, Plant Impact, Turbo Power Sys
Flag of the USA
Anadarko, Artisan Partners, Boardwalk Pipeline, Cardinal Hlth, Centurytel Inc, Chemtura Corporation, Delek, Diamond Offshore, Dominion Res Inc, General Growth Prop, Loews Corp, NextEra Energy (All Sessions), Omega Healthcare Investors, Public Service Enterprise, Rockwell Coll, Roper Industries, Norfolk Southern, Tenet Healthcare, Tesoro Corp, Williams Comps

Tuesday 01 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   51.7 51.4
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 50.4 50.4 51.2
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
PMI Manufacturing   55.4 54.5 54.3
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
PMI Manufacturing   50.3 51.1
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 51.5 51.7 51.9

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Adeptus Health Inc., Aircastle, Alleghany Corp, Amer Elec Pwr, American Financial, Ametek Inc, Archer Daniels, Calix Inc, Care.com, Coach, Cobalt International Energy, Inc, Community Health Systems, Consol Energy, Cummins Inc, Devon Energy, DeVry Inc., Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, Eaton Vance, Ecolab Inc, Edison Intl, Emerson Electric, EXCO Resources, Fidelity Natl In, Harris Corporation, HCP, Iron Mountain Incorporated, Kellogg Co, Manitowoc, Matador Resources, Molson Coors Br, Mosaic, MSC Industrial Direct, Newfield Exploration Company, Nisource Inc, Noble Energy, Occidental Petroleum, ONEOK, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), Pioneer Natural Resources, Pitney Bowes Inc, Plantronics, PPL Corp, Ramco-Gershenson, Rowan Cos Inc, RSP Permian, Spirit AeroSystems, Inc, The Madison Square Garden Sports, Sturm and Ruger Co, Sunstone HTL, Tableau Software, Inc., Terex Corp, US Steel Corp, WellCare Health Plans, Western Refining, Western Union, Xylem
Flag of Great Britain
BP, Egdon Resources, Falanx, Firestone Diamonds, Go-Ahead Group, Moneysupermarket.com Group, Standard Chartered

Wednesday 02 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 43.0 42.3
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 5.3% 5.0% +4.6%
PMI Manufacturing   51.0 51.4 50.9
PMI Manufacturing   51.3 51.3 51.8
PMI Manufacturing   55.1 55.1 55.0
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 1k -1k -13k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.1% 6.1% 6.0%
PMI Manufacturing   53.3 53.3 53.5
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 154k 165k 147.0k
FOMC Rate Decision   % 0.375% 0.25-0.50%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Next, Persimmon, Sareum, Wetherspoon(J.D.)
Flag of the USA
Aerohive Networks, Allstate Cp, American International Group, American States Water Co, American Water Works Co, Amerisourcebergn, Annaly Capital Management Inc, Bunge, Cable One Inc, CF Industries, Clean Harbors, Clorox Co, Compass Diversified Holdings, Continental Res, Corrections Corp of America, DaVita, Emerge Energy Services, Ferro Corp, FitBit, Flotek Industries, FMC Corporation, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Gamestop (All Sessions), Gannett Co, Health Care REIT, Inc., Healthcare Realty Trust, Host Hotels & Resorts, Intrepid Potash, Lincoln Natl, Marathon Oil, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, Mueller Water, Natl Semiconduct, NuStar Energy, NY Times, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Paramount Group, Parsley Energy, Planet Payment, Rayonier Inc, Silver Bay Realty Trust, Spectra Energy, Spirit Realty Capital Inc, Targa Resources, Time Warner, Two Harbors Inv Corp, Urban Edge Properties, Vulcan Materials, Yelp Inc, Zoetis Inc.

Thursday 03 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -2010mln AU -1700mln AU -1227mln AU
Exports Exports Chart 0.0% +2%
Imports Imports Chart 0.0% -1%
Unemployment Rate   11.4% 11.4% 11.7%
PMI Services   52.6 52.4 54.5
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 10.1% 10.0% 10%
BoE QE Total   435bln GB 435bln GB 435bln GB
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 9 9
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 0 0
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 258k 258k 265k
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 60.0 57.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 54.0 56.6
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 57.1 56.0 54.8
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 57.2 53.1
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 0.2% 0.2% +0.3%
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 60.3 59.7 57.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Artilium, Inmarsat, Morrison(WM.)Supermarkets, Noble Corporation , Quarto Group, Smith & Nephew, Spirent Communications, Zoo Digital
Flag of the USA
3D Systems Corp, Air Lease Corporation, Alliant Energy Corp, Amerus, Apache Corp, Avon Products, Ball Corp, Becton Dickinsn, Calgon Carb, CBS Corp, Chesapeake Energy, Church & Dwight Co, Cigna Corp, Computer Science, Consol Edison, Denbury Resources, EOG Resources, Fluor Corp, Fortress Invest, Gain Capital, Genworth Finl, Harman Intl Inds, Harsco Corporation, Hercules Technology Growth, Hill International, HollyFrontier, Imperva, Invensense, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc, Koppers Holdings, Las Vegas Sands, LSB Industries Inc, MDU Resources, Mohawk Inds, Motorola Solutions, National Fuel Gas Co., Nu Skin Enterprises, Pinnacl West Cap, Quanta Services, Scotts Miracle Gro, Titan International, US Silica Holdings Inc, Weightwatchers, WPX Energy

Friday 04 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.4% +0.6%
PMI Services   50.7 51.5 51.0
PMI Services   52.1 52.1 51.4
PMI Services   54.1 54.1 54.2
PMI Composite   53.7 53.7 53.3
PMI Services   53.5 53.5 52.8
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.1% -1.8% -1.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.94bln C$ -1.70bln C$ -4.08bln C$
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.4%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.0% 4.9% 4.9%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 156k 175k +161k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.0% 7.0% 7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -40.7bln $ -37.8bln $ -36.44bln $

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Tullett Prebon
Flag of the USA
Ameren Corp, CenterPoint Energy, Duke Energy (All Sessions), EW Scripps, Firstenergy, Humana, ITT Corp, NRG Energy, PG&E Corp, The AES Corp

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