Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 31/10/22
Monday 31 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.1 | 50.0 | 49.2 |
| 05:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
30.8 | 29.9 | |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.3% | -0.3% | 0.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-4.3% | -4.9% | -0.9% |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
4.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | -0.2% | 2.1% |
Tuesday 01 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.7 | 50.7 | ||
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.60% | 2.85% | 2.85% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | -0.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.8 | 45.8 | 46.2 | |
| 13:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | 48.8 | ||
| 14:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.9 | 50.0 | 50.2 |
Wednesday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.2Bln EU | 0.7Bln EU | 3.7Bln EU |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.3 | 46.9 | 46.5 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.4 | 47.4 | 47.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.7 | 45.7 | 45.1 | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
14k | 15k | 8k |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.6 | 46.6 | 46.4 | |
| 12:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
208k | 195k | 239k |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.588Mln | 0.367Mln | -3.115Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.125% | 3.875% | 3.750 - 4.000% |
Thursday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
8324Mln AU | 8850Mln AU | 12444Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
4% | 0% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
3% | 7% | |
| 08:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.8% | 7.8% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 47.5 | 47.5 | 48.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
2.25% | 3.00% | 3.00% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-67.4Bln US | -72.2Bln US | -73.3Bln US |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
217k | 220k | 217k |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.52Bln CA | 1.34Bln CA | 1.14Bln CA |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
68.7 | 70.7 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
60.6 | 56.5 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
56.7 | 55.5 | 54.4 |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
59.1 | 55.7 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
53.0 | 49.1 |
Friday 04 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 2.4% | -1.0% | -0.8% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 48.8 | 48.5 | 46.4 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51.7 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 44.9 | 44.9 | 46.5 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 47.1 | 47.1 | 47.3 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 48.2 | 48.2 | 48.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
43.3% | 42.0% | 41.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
5.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
263k | 200k | 261k |
| 12:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
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