Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/07/26
Monday 27 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
84.1 | 84.8 | 86.7 |
| 13:30 | 
|
Durable Goods | -4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
Tuesday 28 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
84 | 85 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91.2 | 92.3 |
Wednesday 29 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -25.0 | |||
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.1% | |||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 2.010Mln | |||
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% |
Thursday 30 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
33.8 | ||
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.0% | 5.1% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-7.7 | -7.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.38 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-15.9 | -15.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
3.2 | 3.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.0 | 96.0 | |
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 11:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
7.3% | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 2 | 2 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 7 | 7 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.75% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.70% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 3.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.4% | 3.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.3% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | -0.1% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.8% |
Friday 31 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | 0.1% | 0.7% | ||
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
5.3% | 3.1% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.3 | 50.0 | |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | ||
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | 1.9% | |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-1k | 5k | |
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 92.4 | 92.5 | ||
| 13:30 | 
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
54.9 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
54.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
54.4 | 54.0 |
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