Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/03/15
Monday 30 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence | 110.9ip | 110.9ip | 110.9ip | |
| 09:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-6.7 | -3.7 | -3.7 |
| 09:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
4.5 | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| 09:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.07 | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-4.7 | -4.0 | -2.9 |
| 09:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
102.1ip | 103.0ip | 103.9ip |
| 12:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12:30 | 
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 12:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.8% | +1.8% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.3% | +1.4% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.2% | -2.6% | -1.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | +0.2% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
0.2% | +0.3% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 14:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
1.7% | 0.4% | +3.1% |
| 17:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
-0.3% | 2% | |
| 23:05 | 
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
1 | 2 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 31 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 06:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.9% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 06:45 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | +0.7% | |
| 07:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-20k pers | -12k pers | -15k pers |
| 07:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| 08:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | |
| 08:30 |
|
Current Account |
|
-27.000bln mo | -21.50bln mo | -25.3bln mo |
| 08:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.5% | +0.6% |
| 08:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 2.7% | 2.7% | +3.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.9% | -2.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| 13:45 |
|
Chicago PMI |
|
45.8ip | 51.5ip | 46.3ip |
| 14:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
96.4ip | 96.0ip | 101.3ip |
| 23:50 | 
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
16ip | 17ip | |
| 23:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
12ip | 14ip |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 01 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.9 | 49.7 | 50.1 |
| 01:35 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | 50.3 | ||
| 07:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.9ip | 52.3ip | 53.3ip | |
| 07:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.2ip | 48.2ip | 48.8ip | |
| 07:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.4ip | 52.4ip | 52.8ip | |
| 08:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.9ip | 51.9ip | 52.2ip | |
| 08:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.1ip | 54.3ip | 54.4ip | |
| 12:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
212k pers | 225k pers | 189.0k pers |
| 13:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.7 | 48.9 | ||
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.9ip | 52.5ip | 51.5ip |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 02 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Imports |
|
3.0% | +2% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
1.0% | +1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-980mln mo | -1300mln mo | -1256mln mo |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
282k | 286k | 268k |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-41.8bln mo | -41.2bln mo | -35.44bln mo |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2.45bln mo | -2.00bln mo | -0.98bln mo |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.2% | -0.5% | +0.2% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 03 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
295k pers | 245k pers | +126k pers |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
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