Spreadex Market Update

Lululemon tumbles as US stocks close lower



Summary

US stocks closed lower on Friday, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all retreating, while Lululemon plunged 17.4% after cutting its full-year forecasts. The dollar was subdued on Monday, with sterling easing to $1.3513 and the euro little changed at $1.1609. Oil remained elevated, with Brent at $96.85 and US crude at $92.10 amid renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.

Equities

The FTSE 100 closed flat at 10,831.09 on Friday, while the FTSE 250 rose 0.36%. The mid-cap index nevertheless recorded its biggest weekly fall in three months, with UK government bond yields rising during the week.

Experian fell 4.4% on Friday after US Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte accused credit reporting agencies of overcharging Americans. He also directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to approve all lenders to use the VantageScore credit scoring system.

Oxford Nanopore Technologies dropped 6.9% on Friday after healthcare investor Novo Holdings sold 49 million shares in the biotech company for £74 million. Vodafone moved in the opposite direction, gaining 2.7% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the telecoms group to ‘buy’ from ‘sell’.

Wall Street closed lower on Friday following stronger-than-expected US employment figures. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.51% to 53,413.60, the S&P 500 lost 0.38% to 7,718.41 and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.29% to 26,506.99.

US nonfarm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, almost three times the consensus forecast of 56,000, while June and July payroll figures were revised higher by a combined 55,000. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, and markets raised the probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase in September to 58.4%, from 49.4% on Thursday.

Lululemon tumbled 17.4% on Friday after the sportswear company cut its full-year revenue and profit forecasts. Adobe dropped 6.7% after announcing that long-serving chief executive Shantanu Narayen would be replaced by company insider Anil Chakravarthy.

Credit-reporting companies were also among Friday’s biggest fallers. Fair Isaac plunged 16.7%, Equifax fell 6.4% and TransUnion lost 5.9% following the US housing regulator’s intervention over credit scoring. Semiconductor stocks provided some strength, with the sector gaining 3.4%, while software and services stocks fell 2.1%.

Forex & Commodities

The US dollar was broadly steady in Asian trading early on Monday, with the dollar index at 99.16 after struggling to hold gains following Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs figures. The euro was little changed at $1.161, while sterling edged lower to $1.351. The yen strengthened to 156.0 per dollar, supported by expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates this month.

Markets are now pricing a roughly 57% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase in September after US job growth accelerated sharply in August and unemployment remained at 4.1%. Attention turns to US producer price data on Thursday and consumer inflation figures on Friday, which could influence the Fed’s September decision.

The European Central Bank is expected to raise its deposit rate to 2.75% on Thursday, while futures indicate a 75% chance of another increase to 3.0% by December. Markets are also pricing a 75% probability that the Bank of Japan will raise rates by a quarter point on 18 September.

Spot gold fell early on Monday, down 0.6% to $4,403 an ounce after declining 1% on Friday. Stronger US employment data increased expectations of higher interest rates, putting pressure on bullion ahead of this week’s inflation releases.

Oil prices climbed early on Monday as renewed US-Iran attacks on vessels raised concerns about supply through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent rose 1.25% to $97.48 a barrel, while WTI gained 1.25% to $92.62. Brent had risen 7.8% last week and WTI nearly 10%, while OPEC+ kept its October production policy unchanged.

DISCLAIMER


Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 61% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.